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Home / Markets / September Inflation UK - Annual
Resolved market scorecard

September Inflation UK - Annual: result and scorecard

Resolved 3.4-3.6%. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 67.0%; a week before, 56.0%. $29K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:02 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

3.4-3.6%
resolved October 21, 2026

Price 1 day before

67.0%
Market leaned the right way

Price 7 days before

56.0%
30 days before: 59.0%

Volume

$29K
6 outcomes

UKCPIInflationMacro IndicatorsRecurring

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
3.4-3.6%WON$10K
3.1-3.3%LOST$8K
3.7-3.9%LOST$5K
2.8-3%LOST$4K
≤2.7%LOST$2K
4.0%+LOST$704

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%09-1710-0410-21
3.4-3.6%3.1-3.3%3.7-3.9%2.8-3%
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 67% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This is a market about inflation in the United Kingdom over the 12-month period ending September 2026 as reported by the UK Office for National Statistics. This market will resolve to the percentage change in the UK Consumer Prices Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Office for National Statistics (ONS) report. The resolution source for this market will be the ONS “Consumer Prices Index, UK” report released for September 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices#publications), currently scheduled to be released on October 21, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: this market will resolve only based on the Consumer Prices Index (CPI) figure. The “Consumer Prices Index including owner occupiers’ housing costs” (CPIH) will not qualify. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI UK news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the ONS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.

Frequently asked questions

How did "September Inflation UK - Annual" resolve?
It resolved 3.4-3.6% around October 21, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 67.0% one day before close, 56.0% one week before and 59.0% one month before.
How much was traded?
$29K across 6 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.