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Home / Markets / UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ)?
Resolved market scorecard

UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ)?: result and scorecard

Resolved 0.4–0.5%. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 60.0%; a week before, 46.5%. $36K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:01 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

0.4–0.5%
resolved August 13, 2026

Price 1 day before

60.0%
Market leaned the right way

Price 7 days before

46.5%
30 days before: 12.0%

Volume

$36K
7 outcomes

EconomyGDPMacro IndicatorsUnited KingdomUK

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
0.4–0.5%WON$6K
0.2–0.3%LOST$15K
0.6–0.7%LOST$4K
0.8–0.9%LOST$4K
NegativeLOST$4K
0.0–0.1%LOST$2K
1.0%+LOST$610

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%05-2707-0508-13
0.4–0.5%0.2–0.3%0.6–0.7%0.8–0.9%
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 60% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the UK real gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate (% change) for Q2 of 2026 compared with the most recent quarter (quarter-on-previous-quarter) in the "GDP Second quarterly estimate, UK" release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for August 12, 2026. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Frequently asked questions

How did "UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ)?" resolve?
It resolved 0.4–0.5% around August 12, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 60.0% one day before close, 46.5% one week before and 12.0% one month before.
How much was traded?
$36K across 7 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.