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Home / Markets / Next UK Home Secretary in 2026?
Resolved market scorecard

Next UK Home Secretary in 2026?: result and scorecard

Resolved No next Home Secretary in 2026. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 0.4%; a week before, 91.5%. $168K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

No next Home Secretary in 2026
resolved July 20, 2026

Price 1 day before

0.4%
Market was confident and wrong

Price 7 days before

91.5%
30 days before: –

Volume

$168K
36 outcomes

UKLabourStarmerPoliticsAndy Burnham

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
No next Home Secretary in 2026WON$93K
Yvette CooperLOST$22K
Wes StreetingLOST$10K
John HealeyLOST$10K
Ed MilibandLOST$6K
Mike TappLOST$5K
Angela RaynerLOST$4K
Pat McFaddenLOST$4K
David LammyLOST$4K
Stephen KinnockLOST$3K
Dan JarvisLOST$3K
Jess PhillipsLOST$3K
Person DLOST$0
Person ELOST$0
Person FLOST$0
Person GLOST$0
Person HLOST$0
Person ILOST$0
Person JLOST$0
Person KLOST$0
Person LLOST$0
Person MLOST$0
Person NLOST$0
Person OLOST$0
Person PLOST$0
Person QLOST$0
Person RLOST$0
Person SLOST$0
Person TLOST$0
Person ULOST$0
Person VLOST$0
Person WLOST$0
Person XLOST$0
Person YLOST$0
Person ZLOST$0
OtherLOST$0

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%06-2507-0707-20
No next Home Secretary in 2026Yvette CooperWes StreetingJohn Healey
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 0% the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the individual who is officially appointed as the next Home Secretary of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Home Secretary will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Home Secretary is appointed, or Shabana Mahmood is re-appointed as Home Secretary, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Home Secretary in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Next UK Home Secretary in 2026?" resolve?
It resolved No next Home Secretary in 2026 around December 31, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 0.4% one day before close, 91.5% one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$168K across 36 outcomes.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.