Live market data
Taiwan: live prediction market odds
Every active Polymarket market mentioning Taiwan, ranked by activity, plus how recent ones resolved.
Live markets
40
mentioning Taiwan
Total volume
$61.6M
across live markets
Most traded
67%
Chiang Wan-an in "Taipei Mayor Election Winner"
Live markets about Taiwan
| Market | Favorite | Price | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner closes November 29, 2026 | Chiang Wan-an | 66.5% | 0.0 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? closes January 1, 2027 | Yes | 1.8% | +0.1 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? closes January 1, 2028 | Yes | 8.5% | -1.0 |
| New Taipei Mayor Election Winner closes November 29, 2026 | Su Chiao-hui | 57.0% | +2.5 |
| Hsinchu County Magistrate Election Winner closes November 29, 2026 | Cheng Chao-fang | 72.5% | +14.0 |
| Taichung Mayor Election Winner closes November 29, 2026 | Johnny Chiang | 77.5% | +1.5 |
| Hsinchu City Mayor Election Winner closes November 29, 2026 | Ann Kao | 87.0% | 0.0 |
| Kaohsiung Mayor Election Winner closes November 29, 2026 | Lai Jui-lung | 84.0% | +3.0 |
| Taoyuan Mayor Election Winner closes November 29, 2026 | Chang San-cheng | 93.0% | 0.0 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? closes January 1, 2027 | Yes | 2.7% | +0.2 |
| Chiayi City Mayor Election Winner closes November 29, 2026 | Wang Mei-hui | 83.5% | +4.0 |
| Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026? closes January 1, 2027 | Portugal | 10.7% | -0.8 |
| Mayor Combo: New Taipei and Kaohsiung closes November 29, 2026 | DPP sweep | 58.5% | +16.0 |
| Mayor Combo: Taipei and New Taipei closes November 29, 2026 | Other | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Which companies will the US take a stake in? closes January 1, 2027 | Unusual Machines | 19.5% | -9.5 |
| Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027? closes January 1, 2027 | Canada | 11.0% | -4.0 |
| Local Election Combo: Hsinchu City and Hsinchu County closes November 29, 2026 | Candidate A | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| How many Taiwanese mayor/magistrate races will KMT win? closes November 29, 2026 | 10 | 41.0% | +15.5 |
| Keelung Mayor Election Winner closes November 29, 2026 | Hsieh Kuo-liang | 69.5% | 0.0 |
| Chiayi County Magistrate Election Winner closes November 29, 2026 | Tsai Yi-yu | 94.5% | -0.5 |
| 2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner closes November 29, 2026 | Kuomintang (KMT) | 78.0% | 0.0 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? closes July 1, 2027 | Yes | 5.5% | 0.0 |
| How many Taiwanese mayor/magistrate races will DPP win? closes November 29, 2026 | 7 | 45.5% | +8.5 |
| Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? closes January 1, 2027 | Yes | 2.3% | -0.1 |
| Tainan Mayor Election Winner closes November 29, 2026 | Chen Ting-fei | 94.5% | -0.5 |
| Hualien County Magistrate Election Winner closes November 29, 2026 | Yu Shu-chen | 83.5% | +2.5 |
| Penghu County Magistrate Election Winner closes November 29, 2026 | Chen Chen-chung | 61.0% | 0.0 |
| Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026? closes January 1, 2027 | Yes | 4.5% | +1.7 |
| Taitung County Magistrate Election Winner closes November 29, 2026 | Wu Hsiu-hua | 73.5% | -0.5 |
| Lai Ching-te impeached by...? closes January 1, 2027 | December 31 | 22.1% | -7.3 |
| Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...? closes January 1, 2027 | December 31 | 11.9% | +5.0 |
| Miaoli County Magistrate Election Winner closes November 29, 2026 | Chung Tung-chin | 93.8% | 0.0 |
| Changhua County Magistrate Election Winner closes November 29, 2026 | Chen Su-yueh | 81.0% | +0.5 |
| Yilan County Magistrate Election Winner closes November 29, 2026 | Lin Kuo-chang | 65.5% | +1.0 |
| Lienchiang County Magistrate Election Winner closes November 29, 2026 | Wang Chung-ming | 74.0% | +0.5 |
| Kinmen County Magistrate Election Winner closes November 29, 2026 | Chen Yu-jen | 97.5% | +0.8 |
| Pingtung County Magistrate Election Winner closes November 29, 2026 | Chou Chun-mi | 80.5% | 0.0 |
| Yunlin County Magistrate Election Winner closes November 29, 2026 | Chang Chia-chun | 84.0% | 0.0 |
| Nantou County Magistrate Election Winner closes November 29, 2026 | Hsu Shu-hua | 95.8% | +0.1 |
| Lai Ching-te visits US by...? closes July 1, 2027 | June 30 | 11.5% | 0.0 |
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.
Recently resolved
| Market | Result |
|---|---|
| Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan by end of Xi summit? October 8, 2026 | No |
| Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? June 30, 2026 | No |
| Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30? June 30, 2026 | Yes |
| Trump-Xi Summit: What will Trump announce by May 22? May 22, 2026 | Taiwan Arms Sales Halt |
| Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week? May 17, 2026 | No |
| China x Taiwan military clash by...? December 31, 2025 | Closed |
| Will China blockade Taiwan by December 31? December 31, 2025 | No |
| Lai Ching-te impeached before 2026? December 31, 2025 | No |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? December 30, 2024 | No |
| Will China invade Taiwan in May? May 31, 2024 | No |
About this page
Blockade, invasion and election markets. Prices come from Polymarket and read as probabilities. They are set by traders, move with news, and are not forecasts by BetG8. Each market page carries the full rules, a price chart and volume.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the odds on Taiwan right now?
- The most traded live market is "Taipei Mayor Election Winner", where Chiang Wan-an is priced at 66.5% as of November 6, 2026. 40 live markets mention Taiwan.
- How do I bet on Taiwan?
- These are prediction market contracts, not sportsbook bets. Each pays $1 if the outcome happens. Access depends on your location; see the market page and our legality guides before trading.