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Home / Markets / Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?
Resolved market scorecard

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?: result and scorecard

Resolved Andy Burnham. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 99.9%; a week before, 99.6%. $16.6M traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:03 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Andy Burnham
resolved July 20, 2026

Price 1 day before

99.9%
Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

99.6%
30 days before: 92.7%

Volume

$16.6M
61 outcomes

PoliticsWorldEnglandPMUK

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
Andy BurnhamWON$1.8M
Nigel FarageLOST$1.4M
No Next PM in 2026LOST$1.1M
Rupert LoweLOST$1.1M
Angela RaynerLOST$968K
Wes StreetingLOST$937K
Darren JonesLOST$872K
Shabana MahmoodLOST$826K
Yvette CooperLOST$801K
David LammyLOST$794K
Rachel ReevesLOST$777K
Al CarnsLOST$754K
Ed MilibandLOST$738K
Kemi BadenochLOST$673K
Lucy PowellLOST$636K
Ed DaveyLOST$584K
Robert JenrickLOST$502K
James CleverlyLOST$423K
Boris JohnsonLOST$374K
Bridget PhillipsonLOST$273K
John HealeyLOST$219K
OG Anunoby Jr.LOST$7K
Person CLOST$0
Person DLOST$0
Person ELOST$0
Person FLOST$0
Person GLOST$0
Person HLOST$0
Person ILOST$0
Person JLOST$0
Person KLOST$0
Person LLOST$0
Person MLOST$0
Person NLOST$0
Person OLOST$0
Person PLOST$0
Person QLOST$0
Person RLOST$0
Person SLOST$0
Person TLOST$0
Person ULOST$0
Person VLOST$0
Person WLOST$0
Person XLOST$0
Person YLOST$0
Person ZLOST$0
Person AALOST$0
Person ABLOST$0
Person ACLOST$0
Person ADLOST$0
Person AELOST$0
Person AFLOST$0
Person AGLOST$0
Person AHLOST$0
Person AILOST$0
Person AJLOST$0
Person AKLOST$0
Person ALLOST$0
Person AMLOST$0
Person ANLOST$0
OtherLOST$0

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%02-0604-2907-20
Andy BurnhamNigel FarageNo Next PM in 2026Rupert Lowe
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 100% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?" resolve?
It resolved Andy Burnham around December 31, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 99.9% one day before close, 99.6% one week before and 92.7% one month before.
How much was traded?
$16.6M across 61 outcomes.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.