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Home / Markets / Next UK Transport Secretary in 2026?
Resolved market scorecard

Next UK Transport Secretary in 2026?: result and scorecard

Resolved No next Transport Secretary in 2026. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 46.6%; a week before, 30.3%. $37K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

No next Transport Secretary in 2026
resolved July 21, 2026

Price 1 day before

46.6%
Market was a coin flip

Price 7 days before

30.3%
30 days before: –

Volume

$37K
35 outcomes

UKLabourPoliticsAndy BurnhamUnited Kingdom

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
No next Transport Secretary in 2026WON$17K
Dan JarvisLOST$5K
Lisa NandyLOST$5K
Ed MilibandLOST$3K
Anneliese MidgleyLOST$3K
Sally JamesonLOST$2K
Darren JonesLOST$2K
Louise HaighLOST$1K
Person ALOST$0
Person BLOST$0
Person CLOST$0
Person DLOST$0
Person ELOST$0
Person FLOST$0
Person GLOST$0
Person HLOST$0
Person ILOST$0
Person JLOST$0
Person KLOST$0
Person LLOST$0
Person MLOST$0
Person NLOST$0
Person OLOST$0
Person PLOST$0
Person QLOST$0
Person RLOST$0
Person SLOST$0
Person TLOST$0
Person ULOST$0
Person VLOST$0
Person WLOST$0
Person XLOST$0
Person YLOST$0
Person ZLOST$0
OtherLOST$0

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%07-1007-1507-21
No next Transport Secretary in 2026Dan JarvisLisa NandyEd Miliband
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 47% the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the individual who is officially appointed as the next Secretary of State for Transport of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Secretary of State for Transport will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Secretary of State for Transport is appointed, or Heidi Alexander is re-appointed as Secretary of State for Transport, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Transport Secretary in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Next UK Transport Secretary in 2026?" resolve?
It resolved No next Transport Secretary in 2026 around December 31, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 46.6% one day before close, 30.3% one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$37K across 35 outcomes.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.