Live market data
Iran: live prediction market odds
Every active Polymarket market mentioning Iran, ranked by activity, plus how recent ones resolved.
Live markets
37
mentioning Iran
Total volume
$302.7M
across live markets
Most traded
98%
November 6 in "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?"
Live markets about Iran
| Market | Favorite | Price | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? closes December 31, 2026 | November 6 | 98.4% | +1.4 |
| US-Iran effective ceasefire continues through...? closes January 1, 2027 | November 6 | 92.5% | +4.0 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? closes January 1, 2027 | Yes | 12.5% | +2.0 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…? closes January 1, 2027 | December 31 | 9.5% | +3.0 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...? closes January 1, 2027 | December 31 | 35.5% | +1.5 |
| Iran full airspace closure by...? closes January 1, 2027 | December 31 | 27.5% | +3.5 |
| Iran leadership change by...? closes July 1, 2027 | June 30, 2027 | 24.5% | 0.0 |
| Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31? closes January 1, 2027 | Kazem Gharibabadi | 39.5% | -8.0 |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...? closes December 31, 2026 | December 31, 2026 | 43.0% | +1.5 |
| What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? closes January 1, 2027 | Dilution of Iran's Uranium | 13.5% | +1.5 |
| Iran leader end of 2026? closes December 31, 2026 | Mojtaba Khamenei | 90.5% | -0.4 |
| Will Iran damage undersea internet cables by...? closes January 1, 2027 | December 31 | 11.5% | +0.5 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...? closes November 1, 2026 | December 31 | 28.5% | 0.0 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...? closes January 1, 2027 | December 31 | 5.5% | 0.0 |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? closes January 1, 2027 | Yes | 2.5% | -0.8 |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? closes January 1, 2027 | Yes | 2.8% | +0.5 |
| Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...? closes December 31, 2026 | No Meeting by December 31 | 57.0% | -0.5 |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? closes January 1, 2027 | Yes | 9.5% | 0.0 |
| Iran coup attempt by...? closes January 1, 2027 | December 31, 2027 | 23.5% | +3.5 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...? closes January 1, 2027 | December 31 | 2.1% | +0.1 |
| Total Internet Blackout in Iran by...? closes December 31, 2026 | December 31 | 29.0% | +0.5 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? closes January 1, 2027 | Yes | 7.6% | -0.7 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...? closes January 1, 2027 | December 31 | 2.2% | -0.1 |
| Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...? closes January 1, 2027 | December 31 | 9.5% | -2.0 |
| US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...? closes January 1, 2027 | December 31 | 32.5% | -4.0 |
| Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by...? closes January 1, 2027 | December 31 | 28.5% | -8.0 |
| Will Iran target an Arab country by...? closes December 1, 2026 | November 30 | 77.5% | +4.5 |
| Will Iran target Qatar by...? closes January 1, 2027 | December 31 | 32.5% | -6.0 |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? closes January 1, 2027 | Yes | 6.6% | -1.8 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire ends before Netanyahu out? closes July 1, 2027 | Yes | 58.0% | -6.0 |
| Will Iran target Bahrain by...? closes December 1, 2026 | November 30 | 24.5% | -19.5 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by...? closes January 1, 2027 | December 31 | 9.5% | -0.5 |
| Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by...? closes January 1, 2027 | December 31 | 7.5% | -3.0 |
| Iran nuclear test before 2027? closes January 1, 2027 | Yes | 2.5% | -0.4 |
| Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by...? closes December 1, 2026 | November 30 | 58.5% | +4.5 |
| Will Iran target Oman by...? closes January 1, 2027 | December 31 | 11.0% | +1.5 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by...? closes December 31, 2026 | December 31 | 13.0% | -4.0 |
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Recently resolved
| Market | Result |
|---|---|
| Iran blockade lifted before US x Iran ceasefire ends? July 1, 2027 | No |
About this page
Nuclear deal, strikes and regime markets. Prices come from Polymarket and read as probabilities. They are set by traders, move with news, and are not forecasts by BetG8. Each market page carries the full rules, a price chart and volume.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the odds on Iran right now?
- The most traded live market is "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?", where November 6 is priced at 98.4% as of November 6, 2026. 37 live markets mention Iran.
- How do I bet on Iran?
- These are prediction market contracts, not sportsbook bets. Each pays $1 if the outcome happens. Access depends on your location; see the market page and our legality guides before trading.