Who is favored in "Jonathan Powell out as UK National Security Adviser by...?"?

As of November 6, 2026, December 31 is the favorite at 44.0%.

When does this market resolve?

The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.

How much has been traded?

$3K in total and $16 in the last 24 hours, with about $160 of resting liquidity.

Can I trade this market?

Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Home / Markets / Jonathan Powell out as UK National Security Adviser by...?

Live market data

Jonathan Powell out as UK National Security Adviser by...?: live odds and probabilities

Name: Jonathan Powell out as UK National Security Adviser by...? prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

The market favorite is December 31 at 44.0%. $3K traded across 1 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:02 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

44.0%

December 31 · Trade →

24h move

+14.0

pts · 7d -13.0

Volume

$3K

24h $16 · liquidity $160

Closes

January 1, 2027

56 days left

UK World Politics Andy Burnham United Kingdom

All outcomes

Outcome	Probability	24h	7d	Volume	Spread
December 31	44.0%	+14.0	-13.0	$1K	44.0¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:02 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

Price history

December 31

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jonathan Powell ceases to be the UK National Security Adviser for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Powell's resignation, removal, or other formal departure from this position before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/departure goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Jonathan Powell or the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying December 31 at 44% risks 44¢ to win 56¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "Jonathan Powell out as UK National Security Adviser by...?"?: As of November 6, 2026, December 31 is the favorite at 44.0%.
When does this market resolve?: The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?: $3K in total and $16 in the last 24 hours, with about $160 of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?: Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.