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Home / Markets / Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?
Resolved market scorecard

Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?: result and scorecard

Resolved November 15. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 90.5%; a week before, –. $3K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:05 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

November 15
resolved November 6, 2026

Price 1 day before

90.5%
Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

–
30 days before: –

Volume

$3K
3 outcomes

putinRussiaUkrainezelenskyzelenskyy

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
November 15WON$2K
December 31WON$1K
November 30WON$466

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%11-0311-0411-06
November 15December 31November 30
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 91% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a direct or indirect diplomatic meeting between Russia and Ukraine between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting occurs when representatives of both listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in diplomacy on behalf of their respective governments or governing authorities deliberately meet for the purpose of diplomacy or negotiation. A qualifying meeting need not result in any agreement, joint statement, or further engagement. Representatives include officials mandated by their government or parliament to negotiate humanitarian matters on its behalf, such as prisoner exchanges, the return of civilians or children, or humanitarian pauses (e.g., Ukraine's Parliamentary Commissioner for Human Rights and Russia's High Commissioner for Human Rights). Mediators, envoys, or other third-party officials do not count as representatives of either listed country. A direct meeting refers to a diplomatic meeting where the representatives of both countries directly interact with each other in person. Meetings conducted through translators qualify, provided direct, face-to-face communication occurs. An indirect meeting refers to a meeting conducted indirectly through designated mediators or facilitators. A qualifying indirect meeting must meet both of the following criteria (i) the designated intermediaries act with the knowledge and authorization of both entities; (ii) representatives of both entities are physically present in the same facility, venue, or city as part of a single organized round of talks convened for the purpose of diplomatic engagement, with the intermediary conveying communications between the representatives or delegations on the same day. “The same day” means the same calendar day local time at the meeting location. Sessions, proceedings, or convenings of standing international organiza

Frequently asked questions

How did "Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?" resolve?
It resolved November 15 around January 1, 2027.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 90.5% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$3K across 3 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.