Turner Prize 2026 Winner: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Artist A at 50.0%, ahead of Artist B at 50.0%. $68K traded across 16 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Artist A | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Artist B | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Artist C | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Artist D | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Artist E | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Artist F | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Artist G | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Artist H | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Artist I | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Artist J | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Artist K | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Other | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Kira Freije | 28.5% | -4.0 |
| Simeon Barclay | 28.0% | +8.0 |
| Tanoa Sasraku | 18.0% | -4.5 |
| Marguerite Humeau | 15.0% | -7.9 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:03 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
The Turner Prize is awarded annually by Tate to a British artist for an outstanding exhibition or other presentation of their work. The Turner Prize 2026 shortlist was announced on April 23, 2026, and the shortlisted artists' exhibition runs at Middlesbrough Institute of Modern Art (MIMA) from September 26, 2026 to March 29, 2027. The winner is scheduled to be announced on December 10, 2026. This market will resolve according to the artist who is awarded the Turner Prize 2026. If no winner has been declared by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If multiple listed artists are jointly awarded the Turner Prize 2026, this market will resolve in favor of the winning artist whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tate (https://www.tate.org.uk/) and the Turner Prize; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "Turner Prize 2026 Winner"?
- As of November 6, 2026, Artist A is the favorite at 50.0%, followed by Artist B at 50.0%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on April 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $68K in total and $5K in the last 24 hours, with about $31K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.