What are the odds on Canada right now?

The most traded live market is "Brantford—Brant South By-Election Winner", where Joy O'Donnell is priced at 77.0% as of November 6, 2026. 38 live markets mention Canada.

How do I bet on Canada?

These are prediction market contracts, not sportsbook bets. Each pays $1 if the outcome happens. Access depends on your location; see the market page and our legality guides before trading.

Home / Topics / Canada

Live market data

Canada: live prediction market odds

Every active Polymarket market mentioning Canada, ranked by activity, plus how recent ones resolved.

Updated 2026-11-06 01:43 UTC · Source: Polymarket search · 18+

Live markets

mentioning Canada

Total volume

$3.7M

across live markets

Most traded

77%

Joy O'Donnell in "Brantford—Brant South By-Election Winner"

Live markets about Canada

Market	Favorite	Price	24h	Volume
Brantford—Brant South By-Election Winner closes December 7, 2026	Joy O'Donnell	77.0%	+25.5	$4K
Canada GDP: September 2026 (MoM) closes November 30, 2026	-0.2 to -0.1%	58.5%	+1.5	$10K
Scarborough North By-Election Winner closes December 7, 2026	James Li	96.2%	+29.2	$4K
Canada Annual Inflation 2026 closes January 19, 2027	3.0-3.4%	40.6%	+11.8	$84K
Yorkton—Melville By-Election Winner closes December 7, 2026	Nelson Pohl	95.6%	+7.1	$3K
Bank of Canada Decision in December? closes December 9, 2026	No Change	67.0%	-0.5	$211K
Laurier—Sainte-Marie By-Election Winner closes December 7, 2026	Guy Cormier	92.5%	+17.5	$3K
Saint-Hyacinthe—Bagot—Acton By-Election Winner closes December 7, 2026	Caroline Émond	69.0%	+10.5	$1K
Abbotsford-Mission By-Election Winner closes March 31, 2027	Person A	50.0%	0.0	$141K
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? closes January 1, 2027	Yes	12.5%	+2.0	$161K
Bank of Canada Decision in March? closes March 3, 2027	No Change	50.5%	+4.0	$9K
B.C. Conservative Party Leadership Election Winner closes December 31, 2027	Person A	50.0%	0.0	$13K
Ontario Liberal Party Leadership Election Winner closes November 10, 2026	Lee Fairclough	62.0%	+1.5	$19K
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? closes October 20, 2026	Yes	2.2%	+0.1	$505K
Bank of Canada Decision in January? closes January 27, 2027	No Change	51.5%	-3.0	$13K
Canada admitted to the EU before 2029? closes January 1, 2029	Yes	14.5%	+6.0	$5K
Cowichan Valley British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner closes October 25, 2026	Bert Chen	75.0%	-0.5	$7K
Trump announces Canada tariff decrease by...? closes January 1, 2027	December 31	88.8%	+2.3	$11K
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? closes January 1, 2027	Yes	9.5%	-1.5	$63K
Trump announces Canada tariff increase by...? closes January 1, 2027	October 31	79.3%	+9.2	$13K
Will Alberta join the US? closes January 1, 2027	Yes	1.6%	+0.4	$2.2M
Alberta snap election called by March 31, 2027? closes April 1, 2027	Yes	24.5%	+7.0	$551
Danielle Smith out as Premier of Alberta by...? closes April 1, 2027	March 31	23.0%	+1.0	$2K
Another Canada election called by...? closes January 1, 2027	December 31, 2026	5.3%	-0.1	$100K
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by...? closes January 1, 2027	December 31, 2026	3.3%	-0.2	$59K
Will USD/CAD hit __ in 2026? closes December 31, 2026	↓1.33	53.0%	+2.0	$15K
Canada becomes EU Associate Member by...? closes July 1, 2027	December 31, 2027	38.0%	+3.5	$13K
USMCA extended in 2026? closes January 1, 2027	Yes	7.0%	-0.5	$12K
Conservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026? closes January 1, 2027	Yes	5.5%	0.0	$10K
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year? closes February 16, 2027	Yes	8.8%	0.0	$10K
Kelowna Centre British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner closes October 25, 2026	Kristina Loewen	55.8%	-0.1	$9K
Canada cuts off or throttles electricity to the US by December 31? closes January 1, 2027	Yes	1.7%	-0.1	$8K
Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31? closes January 1, 2027	Yes	3.8%	-0.3	$6K
Burnaby South-Metrotown British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner closes October 25, 2026	Paul Choi	54.0%	-0.4	$6K
Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta? closes January 1, 2027	Yes	6.0%	0.0	$4K
Canada applies for full EU membership by...? closes January 1, 2028	December 31, 2027	8.0%	0.0	$2K
Canada expels the US Ambassador by December 31? closes January 1, 2027	Yes	8.0%	-5.0	$124
Canada passes under-16 social media ban in 2026? closes January 1, 2027	Yes	6.5%	0.0	$122

Recently resolved

Market	Result	Volume
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? December 31, 2026	Yes	$923K
Canada recession before 2027? December 31, 2026	Yes	$122K
Bank of Canada Decision in October? October 28, 2026	25 bps increase	$617K
Bank of Canada Decision in September? September 2, 2026	No Change	$96K
100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30? June 30, 2026	No	$87K
Bank of Canada decision in June? June 10, 2026	No change	$96K
Bank of Canada decision in April? April 29, 2026	No change	$252K
Bank of Canada decision in March? March 18, 2026	No change	$65K
Bank of Canada decision in January? January 28, 2026	No change	$257K
Another Canada election called in 2025? December 31, 2025	No	$493K
Will Canada join US as 51st state in 2025? December 31, 2025	No	$473K
Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by...? December 31, 2025	Closed	$347K

About this page

Prime minister and election markets. Prices come from Polymarket and read as probabilities. They are set by traders, move with news, and are not forecasts by BetG8. Each market page carries the full rules, a price chart and volume.

More in World

Ukraine and Russia Vladimir Putin Volodymyr Zelensky Israel Iran China Taiwan United Kingdom

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds on Canada right now?: The most traded live market is "Brantford—Brant South By-Election Winner", where Joy O'Donnell is priced at 77.0% as of November 6, 2026. 38 live markets mention Canada.
How do I bet on Canada?: These are prediction market contracts, not sportsbook bets. Each pays $1 if the outcome happens. Access depends on your location; see the market page and our legality guides before trading.