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Live market data

Scarborough North By-Election Winner: live odds and probabilities

The market favorite is James Li at 96.2%, ahead of Person A at 50.0%. $4K traded across 28 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:01 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

96.2%
James Li · Trade →

24h move

+21.6
pts · 7d 0.0

Volume

$4K
24h $3K · liquidity $13K

Closes

December 7, 2026
32 days left

CanadaPoliticsElectionsby electionMain Election

All outcomes

OutcomeProbability24h7dVolumeSpread
James Li96.2% +21.60.0$3K2.1¢
Person A50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Person B50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Person C50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Person D50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Person E50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Person F50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Person G50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Person H50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Person I50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Person J50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Person K50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Person L50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Person M50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Person N50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Person O50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Person P50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Person Q50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Person R50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Person S50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Person T50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Person U50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Person V50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Person W50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Person X50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Person Y50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Other50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Gurmit Sandhu3.5% -19.60.0$1K0.9¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:01 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Price history

0%25%50%75%100%11-0311-0411-06
James Li

Market rules and resolution

A by-election for the Canadian federal electoral district of Scarborough North is currently scheduled to be held on December 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Scarborough North by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/).

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying James Li at 96% risks 96¢ to win 4¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "Scarborough North By-Election Winner"?
As of November 6, 2026, James Li is the favorite at 96.2%, followed by Person A at 50.0%.
When does this market resolve?
The market is scheduled to close on December 7, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?
$4K in total and $3K in the last 24 hours, with about $13K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?
Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.