Canada Annual Inflation 2026: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is 3.0-3.4% at 41.6%, ahead of 2.5–2.9% at 16.4%. $84K traded across 8 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
RecurringMacro IndicatorsEconomyCanadaCPI
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| 3.0-3.4% | 41.6% | +9.2 |
| 2.5–2.9% | 16.4% | -0.1 |
| 3.5-3.9% | 15.8% | -9.5 |
| 4.0%+ | 8.9% | +0.4 |
| 2.0–2.4% | 7.8% | +4.4 |
| 1.0–1.4% | 1.5% | -0.1 |
| <1.0% | 0.5% | +0.4 |
| 1.5–1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 02:18 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada. This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Statistics Canada report. The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release, which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada. This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report. The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "Canada Annual Inflation 2026"?
- As of November 6, 2026, 3.0-3.4% is the favorite at 41.6%, followed by 2.5–2.9% at 16.4%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on January 19, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $84K in total and $2K in the last 24 hours, with about $10K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.