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Home / Markets / Bank of Canada decision in June?
Resolved market scorecard

Bank of Canada decision in June?: result and scorecard

Resolved No change. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 98.9%; a week before, 98.9%. $96K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:01 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

No change
resolved June 10, 2026

Price 1 day before

98.9%
Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

98.9%
30 days before: 93.5%

Volume

$96K
4 outcomes

Global RatesWorldCanadaRateEconomy

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
No changeWON$42K
IncreaseLOST$27K
25 bps decreaseLOST$15K
50+ bps decreaseLOST$12K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%03-2505-0206-10
No changeIncrease25 bps decrease50+ bps decrease
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 99% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's June 2026 meeting. If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Bank of Canada decision in June?" resolve?
It resolved No change around June 10, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 98.9% one day before close, 98.9% one week before and 93.5% one month before.
How much was traded?
$96K across 4 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.