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Home / Markets / Another Canada election called in 2025?
Resolved market scorecard

Another Canada election called in 2025?: result and scorecard

Resolved No. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 99.8%; a week before, 99.6%. $493K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:17 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

No
resolved January 1, 2026

Price 1 day before

99.8%
Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

99.6%
30 days before: 96.5%

Volume

$493K
1 outcome

CanadaPoliticsWorld

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
YesLOST$493K
NoWON$493K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%04-2908-3001-01
Yes
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 100% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for April 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes"). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Another Canada election called in 2025?" resolve?
It resolved No around December 31, 2025.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 99.8% one day before close, 99.6% one week before and 96.5% one month before.
How much was traded?
$493K across 1 outcome.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.