B.C. Conservative Party Leadership Election Winner: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Person A at 50.0%, ahead of Person B at 50.0%. $13K traded across 35 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
BCCanadaPoliticsElectionsConservative
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Person A | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person B | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person C | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person D | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person E | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person F | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person G | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person H | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person I | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person J | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person K | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person L | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person M | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person N | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person O | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person P | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person Q | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person R | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person S | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person T | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person U | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person V | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person W | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person X | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person Y | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person Z | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Other | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Sheldon Clare | 25.1% | 0.0 |
| Caroline Elliott | 11.5% | -2.0 |
| Aaron Gunn | 11.5% | +0.5 |
| Claire Rattée | 9.5% | 0.0 |
| Iain Black | 9.1% | -0.1 |
| Stockwell Day | 9.0% | 0.0 |
| Chip Wilson | 3.4% | -1.5 |
| Yuri Fulmer | 3.0% | +0.1 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
A leadership election for the Conservative Party of British Columbia is expected following the resignation of Kerry-Lynne Findlay as party leader on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by November 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Conservative Party of British Columbia.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "B.C. Conservative Party Leadership Election Winner"?
- As of November 6, 2026, Person A is the favorite at 50.0%, followed by Person B at 50.0%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on December 31, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $13K in total and $248 in the last 24 hours, with about $36K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.