What are the odds that Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

As of November 6, 2026, Polymarket prices Yes at 8.9% and No at 91.0%, on $10K of total volume.

When does this market resolve?

The market is scheduled to close on February 16, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.

How much has been traded?

$10K in total and $0 in the last 24 hours, with about $607 of resting liquidity.

Can I trade this market?

Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Home / Markets / Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 th

Live market data

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?: live odds and probabilities

Name: Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year? prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

Polymarket traders currently price Yes at 8.9% (-0.1 pts in 24h). $10K has traded on this market.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:00 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Yes probability

8.9%

No 91.0% · Trade →

24h move

-0.1

pts · 7d -3.5

Volume

$10K

24h $0 · liquidity $607

Closes

February 16, 2027

102 days left

Canada Macro Indicators Economy World unemployment

All outcomes

Outcome	Probability	24h	7d	Volume	Spread
Yes	8.9%	-0.1	-3.5	$10K	8.1¢
No	91.0%	+0.1	+3.5	$10K	–

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:00 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

Price history

Yes

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (15 years and over, total) reported by Statistics Canada in the Labour Force Survey for any month of 2026 is higher than that of any other month since January 2017 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm. Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Yes at 9% risks 9¢ to win 91¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds that Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?: As of November 6, 2026, Polymarket prices Yes at 8.9% and No at 91.0%, on $10K of total volume.
When does this market resolve?: The market is scheduled to close on February 16, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?: $10K in total and $0 in the last 24 hours, with about $607 of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?: Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Related on BetG8

Brantford—Brant South By-Election Winner Canada GDP: September 2026 (MoM)Scarborough North By-Election Winner Canada Annual Inflation 2026 Next Premier of British Columbia US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by...?Bank of Canada Decision in December?Yorkton—Melville By-Election Winner All live markets Markets resolving this week Prediction market scorecard

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.