Who is favored in "Yorkton—Melville By-Election Winner"?

As of November 6, 2026, Nelson Pohl is the favorite at 95.6%, followed by Person A at 50.0%.

When does this market resolve?

The market is scheduled to close on December 7, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.

How much has been traded?

$3K in total and $2K in the last 24 hours, with about $30K of resting liquidity.

Can I trade this market?

Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Home / Markets / Yorkton—Melville By-Election Winner

Live market data

Yorkton—Melville By-Election Winner: live odds and probabilities

Name: Yorkton—Melville By-Election Winner prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

The market favorite is Nelson Pohl at 95.6%, ahead of Person A at 50.0%. $3K traded across 29 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

95.6%

Nelson Pohl · Trade →

24h move

+6.6

pts · 7d 0.0

Volume

$3K

24h $2K · liquidity $30K

Closes

December 7, 2026

32 days left

Canada Politics Elections by election Main Election

All outcomes

Outcome	Probability	24h	Volume	Spread
Nelson Pohl	95.6%	+6.6	$2K	2.8¢
Person A	50.0%	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person B	50.0%	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person C	50.0%	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person D	50.0%	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person E	50.0%	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person F	50.0%	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person G	50.0%	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person H	50.0%	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person I	50.0%	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person J	50.0%	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person K	50.0%	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person L	50.0%	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person M	50.0%	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person N	50.0%	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person O	50.0%	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person P	50.0%	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person Q	50.0%	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person R	50.0%	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person S	50.0%	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person T	50.0%	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person U	50.0%	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person V	50.0%	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person W	50.0%	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person X	50.0%	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person Y	50.0%	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Other	50.0%	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Aaron Kienle	3.1%	-5.3	$407	5.5¢
Michaela Krakowetz	1.5%	-1.5	$643	2.4¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

Price history

Nelson Pohl

Market rules and resolution

A by-election for the Canadian federal electoral district of Yorkton—Melville is currently scheduled to be held on December 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Yorkton—Melville by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/).

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Nelson Pohl at 96% risks 96¢ to win 4¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "Yorkton—Melville By-Election Winner"?: As of November 6, 2026, Nelson Pohl is the favorite at 95.6%, followed by Person A at 50.0%.
When does this market resolve?: The market is scheduled to close on December 7, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?: $3K in total and $2K in the last 24 hours, with about $30K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?: Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.