What are the odds on Congress right now?

The most traded live market is "Republican Senate seats after the midterms (Lower Brackets)", where 44 is priced at 95.8% as of November 6, 2026. 38 live markets mention Congress.

How do I bet on Congress?

These are prediction market contracts, not sportsbook bets. Each pays $1 if the outcome happens. Access depends on your location; see the market page and our legality guides before trading.

Home / Topics / Congress

Live market data

Congress: live prediction market odds

Every active Polymarket market mentioning Congress, ranked by activity, plus how recent ones resolved.

Updated 2026-11-06 01:43 UTC · Source: Polymarket search · 18+

Live markets

mentioning Congress

Total volume

$6.3M

across live markets

Most traded

96%

44 in "Republican Senate seats after the midterms (Lower Brackets)"

Live markets about Congress

Market	Favorite	Price	24h	Volume
Republican Senate seats after the midterms (Lower Brackets) closes November 3, 2026	44	95.8%	+2.0	$916K
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory closes November 4, 2026	Democrats 14-16%	51.9%	+30.2	$396K
Next Senate Majority Leader? closes November 4, 2026	Chuck Schumer	89.0%	+4.0	$233K
How many government shutdowns by December 31, 2027? closes January 1, 2028	1	35.5%	-17.0	$16K
Speaker of the House after the midterms? closes November 4, 2026	Hakeem Jeffries	94.3%	-0.3	$28K
Trump impeached and removed before 2028? closes January 1, 2028	Yes	18.6%	+0.3	$32K
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? closes January 20, 2029	Yes	76.5%	-2.5	$127K
Will Trump veto a bill by February 1, 2027? closes February 2, 2027	Yes	44.0%	-14.5	$18K
Government shutdown by...? closes January 1, 2027	December 31	31.5%	-9.0	$26K
How many Trump vetoes by December 31, 2027? closes January 1, 2028	30+	25.5%	+12.0	$6K
2026 Midterms: House Turnout closes November 4, 2026	120-125m	74.5%	+17.5	$51K
Next US Senate Minority Leader? closes January 3, 2027	John Thune	85.0%	+1.0	$32K
Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act? closes January 2, 2027	John Fetterman	7.2%	-0.2	$518K
Ohio enacts data center moratorium by...? closes January 1, 2029	December 31, 2028	33.0%	+0.5	$624K
New Senate confirms a Trump Cabinet or federal judge nominee by...? closes July 1, 2027	June 30, 2027	65.0%	0.0	$2K
Which bills will become law in 2026? closes January 1, 2027	Export-control chip security	42.0%	-0.5	$203K
House Majority Leader of the next Congress? closes January 3, 2027	Katherine Clark	97.1%	+1.6	$8K
Dem sweep & Gaza ceasefire Phase II by end of 2027? closes January 1, 2028	Dem sweep; No Phase II	85.7%	-0.7	$19K
Dem sweep & Chinese AI model #1 by end of 2027? closes January 1, 2028	Dem sweep; China not #1	76.3%	-10.9	$16K
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? closes January 1, 2027	Yes	6.5%	-1.5	$22K
Dem sweep & Gas hits $4.50 by end of 2026? closes January 1, 2027	Dem sweep; No $4.50 gas	80.7%	+8.1	$24K
Dem sweep & Gas hits $3.50 by end of 2026? closes January 1, 2027	Dem sweep; No $3.50 gas	94.1%	+0.8	$47K
Any member-elect blocked from being sworn in on Jan 3, 2027? closes January 4, 2027	Yes	14.5%	-35.5	$507
Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026? closes January 1, 2027	Yes	5.8%	-2.6	$70K
Trump signs a bill from new Congress by...? closes April 1, 2027	March 31	82.0%	0.0	$332
Will Trump issue a veto in 2026? closes January 1, 2027	Yes	21.0%	-12.5	$7K
House Minority Leader of the next Congress? closes November 4, 2026	Jim Jordan	52.0%	+3.0	$5K
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? closes January 1, 2027	Yes	2.4%	0.0	$199K
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...? closes January 1, 2027	December 31, 2026	14.0%	-3.5	$123K
Comprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028? closes January 1, 2027	Yes	53.5%	+9.0	$3K
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? closes January 4, 2027	Yes	3.8%	+0.1	$1.9M
Will the Senate pass another reconciliation bill by...? closes January 1, 2027	December 31	14.0%	-2.0	$8K
Dem sweep & Democrat wins 2028 presidency? closes November 8, 2028	Dem sweep; Dem wins 2028	61.7%	-4.2	$22K
Which party will win the Senate in 2028? closes November 8, 2028	Democratic Party	86.5%	-1.0	$4K
Dem sweep & US recession by end of 2027? closes February 1, 2028	Dem sweep; No recession	61.6%	-3.4	$33K
Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...? closes January 1, 2027	December 31, 2026	11.6%	+0.7	$563K
Will Congress override any veto in 2026? closes January 1, 2027	Yes	12.6%	-1.7	$17K
How many Trump vetoes overridden by December 31, 2027? closes January 1, 2028	1	43.0%	0.0	$122

Recently resolved

Market	Result	Volume
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30? June 30, 2026	Yes	$338K
Will Pam Bondi be held in contempt of Congress by...? June 30, 2026	Closed	$18K
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by May 31? May 31, 2026	No	$13K
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by April 30? April 30, 2026	No	$23K
U.S. Congress member out over Epstein files by April 30? April 30, 2026	No	$10K
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by March 31? March 31, 2026	No	$92K
Will Congress pass any tariffs by March 31? March 31, 2026	No	$26K
Will Bill or Hillary Clinton be held in contempt of Congress by Feb 28? February 28, 2026	No	$95K
Will Bill or Hillary Clinton testify before Congress by January 31? January 31, 2026	No	$3K
When will Congress pass the next funding bill? January 31, 2026	No Bill passed by Jan 31	$627K
Will Congress pass a funding bill by...? January 30, 2026	Closed	$74K
Will Ghislaine Maxwell testify before Congress in 2025? December 31, 2025	No	$238K

About this page

Bills, votes, shutdowns and leadership markets. Prices come from Polymarket and read as probabilities. They are set by traders, move with news, and are not forecasts by BetG8. Each market page carries the full rules, a price chart and volume.

More in US politics

Donald Trump JD Vance Gavin Newsom Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Josh Shapiro Marco Rubio Pete Buttigieg Gretchen Whitmer

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds on Congress right now?: The most traded live market is "Republican Senate seats after the midterms (Lower Brackets)", where 44 is priced at 95.8% as of November 6, 2026. 38 live markets mention Congress.
How do I bet on Congress?: These are prediction market contracts, not sportsbook bets. Each pays $1 if the outcome happens. Access depends on your location; see the market page and our legality guides before trading.