Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by April 30?: result and scorecard
Resolved No. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 99.5%; a week before, 99.2%. $23K traded in total.
Result
Price 1 day before
Price 7 days before
Volume
CongressTrumpIranGeopoliticsPolitics
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| Yes | LOST |
| No | WON |
Price history to resolution
Scorecard
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify. A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form. The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by April 30?" resolve?
- It resolved No around April 30, 2026.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 99.5% one day before close, 99.2% one week before and 86.5% one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $23K across 1 outcome.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.