Who is favored in "Speaker of the House after the midterms?"?

As of November 6, 2026, Hakeem Jeffries is the favorite at 94.3%, followed by Katherine Clark at 3.5%.

When does this market resolve?

The market is scheduled to close on November 4, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.

How much has been traded?

$28K in total and $14K in the last 24 hours, with about $107K of resting liquidity.

Can I trade this market?

Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Home / Markets / Speaker of the House after the midterms?

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Speaker of the House after the midterms?: live odds and probabilities

Name: Speaker of the House after the midterms? prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

The market favorite is Hakeem Jeffries at 94.3%, ahead of Katherine Clark at 3.5%. $28K traded across 6 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

94.3%

Hakeem Jeffries · Trade →

24h move

-0.4

pts · 7d +3.9

Volume

$28K

24h $14K · liquidity $107K

Closes

November 4, 2026

0 days left

Politics Midterms democrat house of representatives Speaker

All outcomes

Outcome	Probability	24h	7d	Volume	Spread
Hakeem Jeffries	94.3%	-0.4	+3.9	$24K	0.9¢
Katherine Clark	3.5%	+1.1	+1.6	$1K	1.5¢
Pete Aguilar	2.6%	+0.1	+1.7	$1K	0.8¢
Jim Jordan	0.9%	+0.4	-0.9	$538	1.7¢
Steve Scalise	0.9%	-0.1	-1.7	$588	1.5¢
Mike Johnson	0.4%	+0.1	-6.0	$1K	0.9¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

Price history

Hakeem JeffriesKatherine ClarkPete AguilarJim Jordan

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve according to the first individual elected to be Speaker of the House by the United States House of Representatives of the 120th United States Congress following the 2026 United States midterm elections. The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Hakeem Jeffries at 94% risks 94¢ to win 6¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "Speaker of the House after the midterms?"?: As of November 6, 2026, Hakeem Jeffries is the favorite at 94.3%, followed by Katherine Clark at 3.5%.
When does this market resolve?: The market is scheduled to close on November 4, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?: $28K in total and $14K in the last 24 hours, with about $107K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?: Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.