Who is favored in "Trump signs a bill from new Congress by...?"?

As of November 6, 2026, March 31 is the favorite at 82.0%, followed by January 31 at 61.0%.

When does this market resolve?

The market is scheduled to close on April 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.

How much has been traded?

$332 in total and $332 in the last 24 hours, with about $3K of resting liquidity.

Can I trade this market?

Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Home / Markets / Trump signs a bill from new Congress by...?

Live market data

Trump signs a bill from new Congress by...?: live odds and probabilities

Name: Trump signs a bill from new Congress by...? prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

The market favorite is March 31 at 82.0%, ahead of January 31 at 61.0%. $332 traded across 2 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:01 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

82.0%

March 31 · Trade →

24h move

-5.0

pts · 7d 0.0

Volume

$332

24h $332 · liquidity $3K

Closes

April 1, 2027

146 days left

Trump Congress Politics Trump Presidency

All outcomes

Outcome	Probability	24h	7d	Volume	Spread
March 31	82.0%	-5.0	0.0	$2	14.0¢
January 31	61.0%	-0.5	0.0	$330	12.0¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:01 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

Price history

March 31January 31

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any bill or joint resolution passed by the 120th United States Congress into United States federal law between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Legislation enacted over veto or without Trump's signature will not qualify, nor will legislation that received final congressional passage before the 120th Congress convened. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House and Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying March 31 at 82% risks 82¢ to win 18¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "Trump signs a bill from new Congress by...?"?: As of November 6, 2026, March 31 is the favorite at 82.0%, followed by January 31 at 61.0%.
When does this market resolve?: The market is scheduled to close on April 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?: $332 in total and $332 in the last 24 hours, with about $3K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?: Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.