When will Congress pass the next funding bill?: result and scorecard
Resolved No Bill passed by Jan 31. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 99.6%; a week before, 80.0%. $627K traded in total.
Result
Price 1 day before
Price 7 days before
Volume
PoliticsTrumpCongressTrump PresidencyGov Shutdown
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| No Bill passed by Jan 31 | WON |
| January 30 | LOST |
| January 31 | LOST |
| January 29 | LOST |
| January 28 | LOST |
| January 27 | LOST |
| January 25 | LOST |
| January 26 | LOST |
| January 22 | LOST |
| January 24 | LOST |
| January 23 | LOST |
| January 21 | LOST |
Price history to resolution
Scorecard
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which a government funding bill is passed by Congress, defined as the date on which the second chamber (either the U.S. House of Representatives or the U.S. Senate) passes the bill. This market will resolve to “No Bill passed by Jan 31” if no government funding bill is passed by Congress by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A qualifying bill must actually pass both chambers of Congress (the US House and the US Senate). Passage of separate or different bills will not qualify; it must be the same piece of legislation. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "When will Congress pass the next funding bill?" resolve?
- It resolved No Bill passed by Jan 31 around January 31, 2026.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 99.6% one day before close, 80.0% one week before and – one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $627K across 12 outcomes.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.