What are the odds that Will Trump issue a veto in 2026?

As of November 6, 2026, Polymarket prices Yes at 22.5% and No at 77.5%, on $7K of total volume.

When does this market resolve?

The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.

How much has been traded?

$7K in total and $322 in the last 24 hours, with about $380 of resting liquidity.

Can I trade this market?

Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Home / Markets / Will Trump issue a veto in 2026?

Live market data

Will Trump issue a veto in 2026?: live odds and probabilities

Name: Will Trump issue a veto in 2026? prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

Polymarket traders currently price Yes at 22.5% (-11.0 pts in 24h). $7K has traded on this market.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:09 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Yes probability

22.5%

No 77.5% · Trade →

24h move

-11.0

pts · 7d 0.0

Volume

$7K

24h $322 · liquidity $380

Closes

January 1, 2027

56 days left

Politics Trump Congress

All outcomes

Outcome	Probability	24h	7d	Volume	Spread
Yes	22.5%	-11.0	0.0	$7K	9.0¢
No	77.5%	+11.0	0.0	$7K	–

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 02:09 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

Price history

Yes

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve to Yes if President Trump issues a presidential veto, including a "pocket veto," by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". A pocket veto will be considered to have occurred when the relevant bill is presented to the President, even if the pocket veto's effect is not realized until after the date referenced above. In the event of ambiguity over the timing or effect of a pocket veto, this market will remain open until the status of the pocket veto is known. The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Yes at 23% risks 23¢ to win 78¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds that Will Trump issue a veto in 2026?: As of November 6, 2026, Polymarket prices Yes at 22.5% and No at 77.5%, on $7K of total volume.
When does this market resolve?: The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?: $7K in total and $322 in the last 24 hours, with about $380 of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?: Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.