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Home / Markets / Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by May 31?
Resolved market scorecard

Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by May 31?: result and scorecard

Resolved No. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 99.5%; a week before, 96.7%. $13K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:19 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

No
resolved June 1, 2026

Price 1 day before

99.5%
Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

96.7%
30 days before: 92.5%

Volume

$13K
1 outcome

IranCongressU.S. x IranPoliticsGeopolitics

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
YesLOST$13K
NoWON$13K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%04-2805-1506-01
Yes
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 99% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify. A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form. The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by May 31?" resolve?
It resolved No around May 31, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 99.5% one day before close, 96.7% one week before and 92.5% one month before.
How much was traded?
$13K across 1 outcome.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.