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Home / Markets / Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?
Resolved market scorecard

Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?: result and scorecard

Resolved Yes. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 1.6%; a week before, 3.0%. $338K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:19 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Yes
resolved June 23, 2026

Price 1 day before

1.6%
Market was confident and wrong

Price 7 days before

3.0%
30 days before: –

Volume

$338K
1 outcome

IranGeopoliticsPoliticsCongressU.S. x Iran

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
YesWON$338K
NoLOST$338K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%05-3006-1106-23
Yes
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 2% the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify. A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form. The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?" resolve?
It resolved Yes around June 30, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 1.6% one day before close, 3.0% one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$338K across 1 outcome.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.