Live market data
Will the Senate pass another reconciliation bill by...?: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is December 31 at 14.0%. $8K traded across 1 outcomes.
Favorite
14.0%
December 31 · Trade →
24h move
-2.0
pts · 7d -14.0
Volume
$8K
24h $87 · liquidity $11K
Closes
January 1, 2027
56 days left
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 14.0% | -2.0 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:01 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.
Price history
December 31
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
How to read this market
Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying December 31 at 14% risks 14¢ to win 86¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "Will the Senate pass another reconciliation bill by...?"?
- As of November 6, 2026, December 31 is the favorite at 14.0%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $8K in total and $87 in the last 24 hours, with about $11K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.