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Home / Markets / Will Bill or Hillary Clinton be held in contempt of Congress
Resolved market scorecard

Will Bill or Hillary Clinton be held in contempt of Congress by Feb 28?: result and scorecard

Resolved No. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 99.6%; a week before, 98.3%. $95K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:05 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

No
resolved March 1, 2026

Price 1 day before

99.6%
Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

98.3%
30 days before: 35.0%

Volume

$95K
1 outcome

house of representativesbill clintonCulturehouseEpstein

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
YesLOST$95K
NoWON$95K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%01-2202-0902-28
Yes
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 100% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bill or Hillary Clinton (or both Bill and Hillary Clinton) are held in contempt of Congress by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Bill or Hillary Clinton will be considered to be held in contempt of Congress once a full chamber vote of the House of Representatives or Senate votes to approve a resolution (or other measure) holding them in contempt of Congress. A qualifying vote within this market’s timeframe will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of any subsequent appeals or challenges it may face or whether or not the Department of Justice prosecutes the matter. The approval of a contempt of Congress resolution by the full chamber of the House of Representatives or Senate without a vote (e.g. approval through unanimous consent) will count. Committee votes or other procedural steps prior to a full senate or house vote on a contempt of Congress resolution will not count. The primary resolution sources will be official information from the United States Congress; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Will Bill or Hillary Clinton be held in contempt of Congress by Feb 28?" resolve?
It resolved No around February 28, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 99.6% one day before close, 98.3% one week before and 35.0% one month before.
How much was traded?
$95K across 1 outcome.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.