Live market data
Pop culture prediction markets: live odds, ranked by volume
Every market below links to its own page with all outcomes, a price chart and resolution rules. Prices are probabilities: 30¢ means about a 30% chance.
Markets listed
60
most active by 24h volume
24h volume
$1.1M
across listed markets
Most active pop culture markets right now
| Market | Favorite | Price | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elon Musk # tweets October 30 - November 6, 2026? Culture · Politics · closes November 6, 2026 | 280-299 | 70.3% | +47.4 |
| Elon Musk # tweets November 5 - November 7, 2026? Culture · Politics · closes November 7, 2026 | 65-89 | 37.5% | -1.5 |
| Next James Bond actor? Culture · Celebrities · closes January 1, 2027 | Callum Turner | 37.0% | -16.8 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...? Aliens · Politics · closes January 1, 2027 | December 31 | 2.3% | -0.1 |
| Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner Awards · Movies · closes July 1, 2027 | The Odyssey | 57.5% | -2.0 |
| Kai Cenat finishes GTA marathon by...? GTA · Kai · closes November 15, 2026 | November 14 | 69.0% | 0.0 |
| Elon Musk # tweets in November 2026? Culture · Politics · closes December 1, 2026 | 1000+ | 73.0% | -7.0 |
| Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026? The Odyssey · Movies · closes February 1, 2027 | Avengers: Doomsday | 70.5% | +7.0 |
| # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1? Culture · MrBeast · closes November 1, 2026 | 70-80M | 84.5% | +22.0 |
| Billboard #1 Artist 2026 Music · Culture · closes April 1, 2027 | Morgan Wallen | 68.6% | -26.7 |
| TIME Person of the Year 2026 Culture · magazine · closes July 1, 2027 | Zohran Mamdani | 27.5% | -1.0 |
| "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office Movies · Culture · closes December 20, 2026 | 400m+ | 49.0% | +30.0 |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by...? Culture · TV · closes April 1, 2027 | March 31, 2027 | 5.5% | +0.1 |
| Will Trump insult Hegseth by December 31? Trump · Culture · closes January 1, 2027 | Yes | 14.5% | +3.0 |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by...? Courts · Culture · closes January 1, 2027 | December 31, 2027 | 29.0% | +2.5 |
| Dancing With The Stars S35: Week 9 Eliminations Culture · Recurring · closes November 11, 2026 | Maura Higgins | 37.5% | +11.5 |
| "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office Movies · Culture · closes November 8, 2026 | 28m-31m | 37.0% | +9.0 |
| Oscars 2027: Best Adapted Screenplay Nominations Awards · Movies · closes March 15, 2027 | The Invite | 89.0% | -0.1 |
| Which movie has 2nd biggest opening weekend in 2026? Movies · Culture · closes February 1, 2027 | Spider-Man: Brand New Day | 71.0% | +7.0 |
| Who will be the top-selling artist by total auction sales in 2026? Art · Culture · closes April 1, 2027 | Pablo Picasso | 93.0% | +3.5 |
| "The Cat in the Hat" Opening Weekend Box Office Movies · Culture · closes November 8, 2026 | 14m-16m | 29.5% | +8.0 |
| What will be the top US Netflix movie this week? (November 10) Movies · Culture · closes November 11, 2026 | The Day After Tomorrow | 90.0% | 0.0 |
| Oscars 2027: Best Costume Design Nominations Awards · Movies · closes March 15, 2027 | The Odyssey | 88.5% | +1.5 |
| Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations Awards · Oscars · closes March 15, 2027 | The Odyssey | 97.6% | +0.4 |
| "Clayface" 3rd Weekend Box Office Movies · Culture · closes November 8, 2026 | 5m-6m | 49.0% | -14.0 |
| Eurovision Asia Winner 2026 Asia · Music · closes November 15, 2026 | Country A | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| #2 Spotify Artist 2026 Music · Culture · closes February 1, 2027 | Drake | 83.5% | +6.0 |
| Oscars 2027: Best Live Action Short Film Nominations Awards · Movies · closes March 15, 2027 | Nightfaces | 56.0% | -2.0 |
| Turner Prize 2026 Winner UK · Art · closes April 1, 2027 | Artist A | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Rockstar releases PC version of GTA VI by...? Games · GTA VI · closes January 1, 2028 | December 31, 2027 | 81.5% | -6.5 |
| SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15? Tech · SpaceX · closes July 1, 2027 | November 30, 2026 | 94.0% | +5.0 |
| Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026? Movies · Culture · closes February 1, 2027 | Avengers: Doomsday | 74.5% | +12.5 |
| What will Trump say at Cape Canaveral? Trump · Culture · closes November 6, 2026 | Space Force | 79.0% | +29.0 |
| Next James Bond announced by...? Movies · Culture · closes July 1, 2027 | March 31, 2027 | 95.5% | +3.0 |
| #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 6? app · Tech · closes November 7, 2026 | TikTok Pro - Events | 75.0% | +39.5 |
| "Godzilla Minus Zero" Rotten Tomatoes Score? Movies · Culture · closes November 9, 2026 | 85+ | 97.9% | +4.4 |
| Oscars 2027: Best Animated Feature Film Nominations Awards · Movies · closes March 15, 2027 | Wildwood | 97.5% | -0.1 |
| Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Nominations Awards · Movies · closes March 15, 2027 | Anne Hathaway | 90.5% | +1.0 |
| "Ramayana" Opening Weekend Box Office Movies · Culture · closes November 8, 2026 | 9m+ | 54.5% | +17.5 |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by...? Trump · Aliens · closes December 1, 2026 | December 31 | 87.5% | -1.8 |
| Top Spotify Artist 2026 Culture · Music · closes February 1, 2027 | Bad Bunny | 91.5% | -0.5 |
| Eurovision Asia 3rd Place 2026 Asia · Music · closes November 15, 2026 | Country A | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Top US Spotify Artist 2026 Music · Culture · closes February 1, 2027 | Drake | 87.5% | +5.0 |
| Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations Culture · Oscars · closes March 15, 2027 | John Malkovich | 95.0% | +3.5 |
| Oscars 2027: Best Director Nominations Awards · Movies · closes March 15, 2027 | Christopher Nolan | 97.2% | +0.4 |
| "Wildwood" 3rd Weekend Box Office Movies · Culture · closes November 8, 2026 | 6m+ | 94.0% | +8.0 |
| Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of November 14 song · Music · closes November 11, 2026 | You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo | 68.5% | +35.5 |
| Top 5 Most Searched People on Google in the US 2026 Tech · google · closes December 31, 2026 | Lindsay Clancy | 80.5% | +6.5 |
| #2 Spotify Artist in November? Music · Culture · closes November 30, 2026 | The Weeknd | 52.0% | +2.5 |
| Will Jason or Lucia die in GTA VI? GTA · gaming · closes December 20, 2026 | Yes | 73.5% | +22.0 |
| Who will be featured on GTA VI: The Album? Music · album · closes November 27, 2026 | Kodak Black | 93.5% | +13.5 |
| Eurovision Asia 2026: Jury Winner Asia · Music · closes November 15, 2026 | Country A | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| #1 Searched Person on Google 2026? Tech · google · closes April 1, 2027 | Person 2 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Oscars 2027: Best Animated Feature Film Winner Awards · Movies · closes July 1, 2027 | Wildwood | 79.0% | +1.5 |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___? Culture · Science · closes January 1, 2029 | December 31, 2028 | 30.0% | -6.5 |
| What will be the top US Netflix show this week? (November 10) Movies · Culture · closes November 11, 2026 | Taken: Natalee Holloway: Season 1 | 95.0% | 0.0 |
| Oscars 2027: Best Sound Nominations Awards · Movies · closes March 15, 2027 | Project Hail Mary | 88.5% | -7.5 |
| Will Trump publicly insult someone on...? Trump · Culture · closes December 1, 2026 | November 11 | 91.1% | -3.9 |
| #1 Searched Actor on Google 2026? Tech · google · closes April 1, 2027 | Inde Navarrette | 62.5% | +5.0 |
| Oscars 2027: Best Casting Nominations Awards · Movies · closes March 15, 2027 | The Odyssey | 86.5% | 0.0 |
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the most traded pop culture prediction markets today?
- As of November 6, 2026 the most active is "Elon Musk # tweets October 30 - November 6, 2026?" with $603K traded in 24 hours, followed by "Elon Musk # tweets November 5 - November 7, 2026?".
- How often is this list updated?
- Prices and volumes are refreshed every few minutes from the Polymarket API. Each market has its own page with full price history and rules.
- Are these odds or probabilities?
- Prediction market prices read directly as probabilities: a Yes share at 30¢ implies roughly a 30% chance. Unlike sportsbook odds there is no built-in vig, but spreads and fees still apply.