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Home / Markets / What will be the top US Netflix show this week? (November 10
Live market data

What will be the top US Netflix show this week? (November 10): live odds and probabilities

The market favorite is Taken: Natalee Holloway: Season 1 at 94.5%, ahead of Reserved option 2 at 50.0%. $2K traded across 17 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

94.5%
Taken: Natalee Holloway: Season 1 · Trade →

24h move

0.0
pts · 7d 0.0

Volume

$2K
24h $2K · liquidity $38K

Closes

November 11, 2026
5 days left

MoviesCulturenetflixRecurringTop Netflix

All outcomes

OutcomeProbability24h7dVolumeSpread
Taken: Natalee Holloway: Season 194.5% 0.00.0$2K3.0¢
Reserved option 250.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Reserved option 350.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Reserved option 450.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Reserved option 550.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Reserved option 650.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Reserved option 750.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Reserved option 850.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Reserved option 950.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Reserved option 1050.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Other50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Black Doves: Season 23.6% -44.40.0$02.6¢
The One About Matthew Perry: Season 12.2% -45.80.0$02.4¢
Nobody Wants This: Season 31.8% -46.20.0$01.6¢
The Fall of El Mayo: Limited Series1.5% -21.00.0$812.8¢
Love Is Blind: S11: Boston1.5% -46.50.0$01.0¢
From: Season 11.1% -46.90.0$311.9¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Price history

0%25%50%75%100%11-0511-0511-06
Taken: Natalee Holloway: Season 1

Market rules and resolution

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, November 10, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Taken: Natalee Holloway: Season 1 at 95% risks 95¢ to win 6¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "What will be the top US Netflix show this week? (November 10)"?
As of November 6, 2026, Taken: Natalee Holloway: Season 1 is the favorite at 94.5%, followed by Reserved option 2 at 50.0%.
When does this market resolve?
The market is scheduled to close on November 11, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?
$2K in total and $2K in the last 24 hours, with about $38K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?
Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.