Elon Musk # tweets in November 2026?: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is 1000+ at 73.0%, ahead of 960-999 at 9.3%. $101K traded across 38 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
CulturePoliticsTweet MarketsRecurring
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| 1000+ | 73.0% | -7.0 |
| 960-999 | 9.3% | +1.9 |
| 920-959 | 5.6% | +1.7 |
| 880-919 | 5.1% | +0.8 |
| 840-879 | 3.4% | +0.9 |
| 800-839 | 2.4% | +0.6 |
| 780-799 | 1.3% | 0.0 |
| 720-739 | 0.9% | +0.2 |
| 700-719 | 0.7% | +0.4 |
| 760-779 | 0.7% | +0.2 |
| 740-759 | 0.4% | -0.1 |
| 680-699 | 0.3% | +0.1 |
| 580-599 | 0.3% | -0.1 |
| 380-399 | 0.2% | 0.0 |
| 620-639 | 0.2% | +0.1 |
| 500-519 | 0.1% | +0.1 |
| 520-539 | 0.1% | +0.1 |
| 540-559 | 0.1% | +0.1 |
| 560-579 | 0.1% | +0.1 |
| 600-619 | 0.1% | +0.1 |
| 640-659 | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| 660-679 | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| 400-419 | 0.1% | -0.1 |
| 460-479 | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| 160-179 | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| 180-199 | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| 200-219 | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| 220-239 | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| 240-259 | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| 260-279 | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| 280-299 | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| 300-319 | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| 320-339 | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| 340-359 | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| 360-379 | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| 420-439 | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| 440-459 | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| 480-499 | 0.1% | 0.0 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of November 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "Elon Musk # tweets in November 2026?"?
- As of November 6, 2026, 1000+ is the favorite at 73.0%, followed by 960-999 at 9.3%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on December 1, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $101K in total and $16K in the last 24 hours, with about $159K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.