Elon Musk # tweets November 5 - November 7, 2026?: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is 65-89 at 37.5%, ahead of 40-64 at 36.5%. $126K traded across 10 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
CulturePoliticsTweet MarketsRecurring
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| 65-89 | 37.5% | -1.5 |
| 40-64 | 36.5% | +18.0 |
| 90-114 | 14.5% | -10.0 |
| <40 | 6.5% | +2.1 |
| 115-139 | 3.5% | -6.0 |
| 140-164 | 0.7% | -4.5 |
| 165-189 | 0.4% | -0.3 |
| 190-214 | 0.1% | -0.1 |
| 215-239 | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| 240+ | 0.1% | -0.1 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:05 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from November 5 12:00 PM ET to November 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "Elon Musk # tweets November 5 - November 7, 2026?"?
- As of November 6, 2026, 65-89 is the favorite at 37.5%, followed by 40-64 at 36.5%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on November 7, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $126K in total and $79K in the last 24 hours, with about $54K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.