Billboard #1 Artist 2026: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Morgan Wallen at 68.6%, ahead of Kendrick Lamar at 8.3%. $300K traded across 16 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Morgan Wallen | 68.6% | -26.7 |
| Kendrick Lamar | 8.3% | +5.2 |
| Taylor Swift | 4.3% | +0.9 |
| Post Malone | 2.8% | +0.9 |
| Drake | 0.6% | +0.1 |
| Olivia Rodrigo | 0.5% | 0.0 |
| SZA | 0.5% | +0.1 |
| Billie Eilish | 0.5% | 0.0 |
| Bad Bunny | 0.4% | +0.1 |
| Sabrina Carpenter | 0.4% | 0.0 |
| The Weeknd | 0.3% | 0.0 |
| Tyler, The Creator | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Luke Combs | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Zach Bryan | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Doja Cat | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Ed Sheeran | 0.1% | 0.0 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 02:04 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve according to the number 1 artist on the Billboard 2026 Year-End Top Artists chart. If Billboard does not publish a 2026 Year-End Top Artists chart by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Billboard Year-End 2026 Top Artists Chart, once it becomes available.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "Billboard #1 Artist 2026"?
- As of November 6, 2026, Morgan Wallen is the favorite at 68.6%, followed by Kendrick Lamar at 8.3%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on April 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $300K in total and $14K in the last 24 hours, with about $148K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.