Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of November 14: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo at 57.0%, ahead of Album C at 50.0%. $7K traded across 12 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
songMusicalbumCultureRecurring
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo | 57.0% | +24.0 |
| Album C | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Album D | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Album E | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Album F | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Other | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore - Taylor Swift | 2.7% | 0.0 |
| Young Manhood & Other Donatable Organs - Zach Bryan | 2.7% | 0.0 |
| Press Play - LISA | 2.7% | 0.0 |
| Perfecth - Queens of the Stone Age | 2.7% | 0.0 |
| Dandelion - Ella Langley | 2.6% | -0.1 |
| HABIBTI (FOMO) - Drake | 0.4% | -1.1 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
Billboard updates the Billboard 200 albums chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then dated “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. This market will resolve according to the number 1 album on the Billboard 200 chart dated “Week of November 14, 2026”. Albums will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more albums are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the albums' listed titles. This market will resolve to the album that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/) or through other official Billboard channels.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of November 14"?
- As of November 6, 2026, You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo is the favorite at 57.0%, followed by Album C at 50.0%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on November 11, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $7K in total and $3K in the last 24 hours, with about $3K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.