Who is favored in "Next James Bond announced by...?"?

As of November 6, 2026, March 31, 2027 is the favorite at 95.5%, followed by December 31, 2026 at 84.5%.

When does this market resolve?

The market is scheduled to close on July 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.

How much has been traded?

$24K in total and $3K in the last 24 hours, with about $25K of resting liquidity.

Can I trade this market?

Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Home / Markets / Next James Bond announced by...?

Live market data

Next James Bond announced by...?: live odds and probabilities

Name: Next James Bond announced by...? prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

The market favorite is March 31, 2027 at 95.5%, ahead of December 31, 2026 at 84.5%. $24K traded across 5 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:00 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

95.5%

March 31, 2027 · Trade →

24h move

+3.0

pts · 7d +16.5

Volume

$24K

24h $3K · liquidity $25K

Closes

July 1, 2027

237 days left

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All outcomes

Outcome	Probability	24h	7d	Volume	Spread
March 31, 2027	95.5%	+3.0	+16.5	$5K	1.0¢
December 31, 2026	84.5%	-1.0	+25.5	$11K	1.0¢
December 15, 2026	62.5%	-1.0	0.0	$170	1.0¢
November 30, 2026	38.5%	-3.0	0.0	$2K	1.0¢
November 15, 2026	26.5%	+8.0	0.0	$0	29.0¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:00 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

Price history

March 31, 2027December 31, 2026December 15, 2026November 30, 2026

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve to “Yes” if an actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor in a starring role of a feature film by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying March 31, 2027 at 96% risks 96¢ to win 5¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "Next James Bond announced by...?"?: As of November 6, 2026, March 31, 2027 is the favorite at 95.5%, followed by December 31, 2026 at 84.5%.
When does this market resolve?: The market is scheduled to close on July 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?: $24K in total and $3K in the last 24 hours, with about $25K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?: Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.