Kai Cenat finishes GTA marathon by...?: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is November 14 at 61.5%, ahead of November 12 at 34.5%. $18K traded across 6 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| November 14 | 61.5% | 0.0 |
| November 12 | 34.5% | 0.0 |
| November 10 | 18.0% | 0.0 |
| November 9 | 6.5% | 0.0 |
| November 8 | 1.1% | 0.0 |
| November 7 | 0.4% | 0.0 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:01 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
Kai Cenat is scheduled to begin a Grand Theft Auto marathon on November 5, 2026, with the stated goal of playing Grand Theft Auto III, Grand Theft Auto: Vice City, Grand Theft Auto: San Andreas, Grand Theft Auto IV, and Grand Theft Auto V on stream. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kai Cenat finishes playing Grand Theft Auto games live on stream, as accepted by him as a successful completion of the marathon, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Playing or completing any individual game, pauses in the livestream, or temporary breaks from gameplay will have no bearing on this market. If Kai Cenat permanently moves on from the Grand Theft Auto marathon to other activities, the marathon will be considered over at that time, even if his livestream continues uninterrupted. Only events occurring while Kai Cenat is broadcasting the marathon live will count. Footage of off-stream or previously recorded attempts will not qualify. If the marathon is cancelled, abandoned before completion, or delayed to a point after the specified date, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be footage from Kai Cenat's official broadcast on YouTube and Twitch.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "Kai Cenat finishes GTA marathon by...?"?
- As of November 6, 2026, November 14 is the favorite at 61.5%, followed by November 12 at 34.5%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on November 15, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $18K in total and $18K in the last 24 hours, with about $11K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.