Next James Bond actor?: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Callum Turner at 37.0%, ahead of Josh O'Connor at 25.8%. $2.0M traded across 26 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Callum Turner | 37.0% | -16.8 |
| Josh O'Connor | 25.8% | +21.8 |
| Jack Lowden | 21.8% | +5.9 |
| No Bond chosen | 14.2% | -4.0 |
| Tom Francis | 2.0% | -0.8 |
| Jack Barton | 0.7% | -3.2 |
| Theo James | 0.4% | +0.3 |
| James Norton | 0.1% | -3.0 |
| Jacob Elordi | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Harris Dickinson | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Richard Madden | 0.1% | -0.1 |
| Jack O'Connell | 0.1% | -0.1 |
| Joe Alwyn | 0.1% | -0.1 |
| Robert Pattinson | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Aaron Taylor-Johnson | 0.1% | -0.4 |
| Paul Mescal | 0.1% | -0.1 |
| Tom Hardy | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Pierce Brosnan | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Tom Holland | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Henry Cavill | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Robert James-Collier | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Timothee Chalamet | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Michael B Jordan | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Nicholas Galitzine | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Jonathan Bailey | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Tom Blyth | 0.1% | 0.0 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 02:19 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "Next James Bond actor?"?
- As of November 6, 2026, Callum Turner is the favorite at 37.0%, followed by Josh O'Connor at 25.8%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $2.0M in total and $62K in the last 24 hours, with about $343K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.