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Who will be the top-selling artist by total auction sales in 2026?: live odds and probabilities

The market favorite is Pablo Picasso at 93.0%, ahead of Other at 6.7%. $106K traded across 4 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:05 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

93.0%
Pablo Picasso · Trade →

24h move

+3.5
pts · 7d +4.0

Volume

$106K
24h $6K · liquidity $73K

Closes

April 1, 2027
146 days left

ArtCulturemasterworks

All outcomes

OutcomeProbability24h7dVolumeSpread
Pablo Picasso93.0% +3.5+4.0$65K2.0¢
Other6.7% 0.0-0.5$29K0.6¢
Jean-Michel Basquiat1.3% -2.1-1.7$5K1.3¢
Andy Warhol0.3% -0.8-2.3$8K0.1¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:05 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Price history

0%25%50%75%100%06-0608-2111-06
Pablo PicassoOtherJean-Michel BasquiatAndy Warhol

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve according to the name of the listed artist who is ranked #1 in global fine art auction turnover for the 2026 calendar year according to the Artprice Annual Report covering 2026. If the Artprice Annual Report is not published by March 31, 2027, 11:59PM ET, or does not include a ranked list of top-selling artists by turnover, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve according to the Artprice Annual Report, scheduled for release in early 2027, available at artprice.com or artmarket.com.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Pablo Picasso at 93% risks 93¢ to win 7¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "Who will be the top-selling artist by total auction sales in 2026?"?
As of November 6, 2026, Pablo Picasso is the favorite at 93.0%, followed by Other at 6.7%.
When does this market resolve?
The market is scheduled to close on April 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?
$106K in total and $6K in the last 24 hours, with about $73K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?
Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.