# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is 70-80M at 84.5%, ahead of 80-90M at 16.5%. $48K traded across 7 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
CultureMrBeastYouTubeRecurring
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| 70-80M | 84.5% | +22.0 |
| 80-90M | 16.5% | -19.5 |
| 90-100M | 1.1% | +0.5 |
| <70M | 0.1% | -0.1 |
| 100-110M | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| 110-120M | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| 120M+ | 0.1% | 0.0 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast after this market's creation gets in the first 7 days after being posted. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration. The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?"?
- As of November 6, 2026, 70-80M is the favorite at 84.5%, followed by 80-90M at 16.5%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on November 1, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $48K in total and $16K in the last 24 hours, with about $25K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.