Who is favored in "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?"?

As of November 6, 2026, TikTok Pro - Events is the favorite at 72.5%, followed by Reserved app 1 at 50.0%.

When does this market resolve?

The market is scheduled to close on November 7, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.

How much has been traded?

$10K in total and $4K in the last 24 hours, with about $2K of resting liquidity.

Can I trade this market?

Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Home / Markets / #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?

Live market data

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?: live odds and probabilities

Name: #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 6? prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

The market favorite is TikTok Pro - Events at 72.5%, ahead of Reserved app 1 at 50.0%. $10K traded across 12 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:01 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

72.5%

TikTok Pro - Events · Trade →

24h move

+45.5

pts · 7d 0.0

Volume

$10K

24h $4K · liquidity $2K

Closes

November 7, 2026

1 days left

app Tech Culture Big Tech App Store

All outcomes

Outcome	Probability	24h	Volume	Spread
TikTok Pro - Events	72.5%	+45.5	$7K	25.0¢
Reserved app 1	50.0%	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Reserved app 2	50.0%	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Reserved app 3	50.0%	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Reserved app 4	50.0%	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Reserved app 5	50.0%	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Other	50.0%	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Muse from Meta	18.0%	+5.0	$3K	20.0¢
Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace	3.4%	-0.2	$492	6.1¢
ChatGPT	3.0%	+0.1	$200	4.9¢
Claude by Anthropic	1.0%	-0.1	$84	1.8¢
Google Gemini	0.9%	-0.1	$289	1.7¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:01 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

Price history

TikTok Pro - Events

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying TikTok Pro - Events at 73% risks 73¢ to win 28¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?"?: As of November 6, 2026, TikTok Pro - Events is the favorite at 72.5%, followed by Reserved app 1 at 50.0%.
When does this market resolve?: The market is scheduled to close on November 7, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?: $10K in total and $4K in the last 24 hours, with about $2K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?: Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.