What will be the top US Netflix movie this week? (November 10): live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is The Day After Tomorrow at 89.5%, ahead of Reserved option 5 at 50.0%. $6K traded across 16 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
MoviesCulturenetflixRecurringTop Netflix
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| The Day After Tomorrow | 89.5% | 0.0 |
| Reserved option 5 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Reserved option 6 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Reserved option 7 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Reserved option 8 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Reserved option 9 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Reserved option 10 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Other | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| A Dog's Perfect Christmas | 5.0% | 0.0 |
| Kidnapped in Her Own Home: The Martha Carelli Story | 2.8% | 0.0 |
| Final Destination Bloodlines | 2.8% | 0.0 |
| Don't Trust the Couple Upstairs | 1.5% | -44.5 |
| Gladiator II | 1.1% | -44.9 |
| Surviving Hurricane Otis | 0.9% | -26.7 |
| Collision Course | 0.5% | -48.4 |
| Mike Tyson: Return of the Mike | 0.5% | -48.4 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, November 10, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week? (November 10)"?
- As of November 6, 2026, The Day After Tomorrow is the favorite at 89.5%, followed by Reserved option 5 at 50.0%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on November 11, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $6K in total and $6K in the last 24 hours, with about $12K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.