Who is favored in "Ukraine lowers conscription age by...?"?

As of November 6, 2026, March 31 is the favorite at 15.5%, followed by December 31 at 5.0%.

When does this market resolve?

The market is scheduled to close on April 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.

How much has been traded?

$6K in total and $0 in the last 24 hours, with about $7K of resting liquidity.

Can I trade this market?

Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Home / Markets / Ukraine lowers conscription age by...?

Live market data

Ukraine lowers conscription age by...?: live odds and probabilities

Name: Ukraine lowers conscription age by...? prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

The market favorite is March 31 at 15.5%, ahead of December 31 at 5.0%. $6K traded across 2 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

15.5%

March 31 · Trade →

24h move

-0.5

pts · 7d 0.0

Volume

$6K

24h $0 · liquidity $7K

Closes

April 1, 2027

146 days left

World Ukraine Politics Geopolitics

All outcomes

Outcome	Probability	24h	7d	Volume	Spread
March 31	15.5%	-0.5	0.0	$4K	1.0¢
December 31	5.0%	0.0	-2.5	$2K	2.0¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

Price history

March 31December 31

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the government of Ukraine lowers the minimum military conscription age between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The change must be confirmed through an official government announcement, legislation, or decree. The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Ukraine, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying March 31 at 16% risks 16¢ to win 85¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "Ukraine lowers conscription age by...?"?: As of November 6, 2026, March 31 is the favorite at 15.5%, followed by December 31 at 5.0%.
When does this market resolve?: The market is scheduled to close on April 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?: $6K in total and $0 in the last 24 hours, with about $7K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?: Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.