Get the brief
LIVE Hyperliquid whale tracker: the largest open positions and what they are doing, updated every few minutes →
Home / Markets / Putin out as President of Russia by...?
Live market data

Putin out as President of Russia by...?: live odds and probabilities

The market favorite is June 30, 2027 at 8.5%, ahead of March 31, 2027 at 5.0%. $31.9M traded across 3 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 01:43 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

8.5%
June 30, 2027 · Trade →

24h move

0.0
pts · 7d 0.0

Volume

$31.9M
24h $248K · liquidity $578K

Closes

July 1, 2027
237 days left

putinGeopoliticsUkrainePoliticsWorld

All outcomes

OutcomeProbability24h7dVolumeSpread
June 30, 20278.5% 0.00.0$847K1.0¢
March 31, 20275.0% -0.5-0.5$1K2.0¢
December 31, 20261.8% +0.10.0$27.7M0.1¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 01:43 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Price history

0%25%50%75%100%07-0703-0711-06
June 30, 2027March 31, 2027December 31, 2026

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying June 30, 2027 at 9% risks 9¢ to win 92¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "Putin out as President of Russia by...?"?
As of November 6, 2026, June 30, 2027 is the favorite at 8.5%, followed by March 31, 2027 at 5.0%.
When does this market resolve?
The market is scheduled to close on July 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?
$31.9M in total and $248K in the last 24 hours, with about $578K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?
Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Related on BetG8

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?Will Russia invade another country by...?Where will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place?Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by...?Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?All live marketsMarkets resolving this weekPrediction market scorecard

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.