How did "Ukraine aid package in February?" resolve?

It resolved No around February 29, 2024.

What did the market predict?

Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 98.8% one day before close, 97.8% one week before and – one month before.

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Resolved market scorecard

Ukraine aid package in February?: result and scorecard

Name: Ukraine aid package in February? prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

Resolved No. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 98.8%; a week before, 97.8%. $147K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:02 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

resolved March 1, 2024

Price 1 day before

98.8%

Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

97.8%

30 days before: –

Volume

$147K

1 outcome

All Geopolitics Ukraine aid package Politics

Final prices by outcome

Outcome	Result	Volume
Yes	LOST	$147K
No	WON	$147K

Price history to resolution

Yes

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 99% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new bill containing at least $5 billion in aid to Ukraine is signed into law in the US between February 1, 2024, 12:00 PM ET and February 29, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Funding for replenishment of US stocks sent to Ukraine counts as Ukraine aid. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Ukraine aid package in February?" resolve?: It resolved No around February 29, 2024.
What did the market predict?: Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 98.8% one day before close, 97.8% one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?: $147K across 1 outcome.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.