Border + Ukraine aid deal by Feb 9?: result and scorecard
Resolved No. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 99.7%; a week before, 96.3%. $75K traded in total.
Result
Price 1 day before
Price 7 days before
Volume
AllGeopoliticsPoliticsUkraineborder issues
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| Yes | LOST |
| No | WON |
Price history to resolution
Scorecard
Resolution rules
Increasing public attention to American immigration policy has driven Republicans to ensure any potential Ukraine aid bill is paired with changes to US border law. A Ukraine aid / border deal was reportedly close to passing as of Jan 22 - however Donald Trump has publicly taken a hard stance against any compromise, jeopardizing the deal. This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill containing changes/funding to US border security and at least $5 billion in aid to Ukraine is signed into law by February 9, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Funding for replenishment of US stocks sent to Ukraine counts as Ukraine aid. Note: A bill that only contains Ukraine aid, or only contains changes to US border law will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" - a bill containing both must be signed into law by the resolution date for this market to resolve to "Yes." The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "Border + Ukraine aid deal by Feb 9?" resolve?
- It resolved No around February 9, 2024.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 99.7% one day before close, 96.3% one week before and – one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $75K across 1 outcome.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.