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Home / Markets / Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027?
Live market data

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027?: live odds and probabilities

Polymarket traders currently price Yes at 19.5% (-1.0 pts in 24h). $29K has traded on this market.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Yes probability

19.5%
No 80.5% · Trade →

24h move

-1.0
pts · 7d -1.5

Volume

$29K
24h $291 · liquidity $26K

Closes

July 1, 2027
237 days left

WorldUkrainePoliticsEarn 3.25%Geopolitics

All outcomes

OutcomeProbability24h7dVolumeSpread
Yes19.5% -1.0-1.5$29K3.0¢
No80.5% +1.0+1.5$29K–

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Price history

0%25%50%75%100%10-0810-2211-06
Yes

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Volodymyr Zelenskyy ceases to be President of Ukraine for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Yes at 20% risks 20¢ to win 81¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds that Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027?
As of November 6, 2026, Polymarket prices Yes at 19.5% and No at 80.5%, on $29K of total volume.
When does this market resolve?
The market is scheduled to close on July 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?
$29K in total and $291 in the last 24 hours, with about $26K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?
Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.