What are the odds that Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo?

As of November 6, 2026, Polymarket prices Yes at 3.4% and No at 96.6%, on $664K of total volume.

When does this market resolve?

The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.

How much has been traded?

$664K in total and $520 in the last 24 hours, with about $27K of resting liquidity.

Can I trade this market?

Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Home / Markets / Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo

Live market data

Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo: live odds and probabilities

Name: Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

Polymarket traders currently price Yes at 3.4% (+0.1 pts in 24h). $664K has traded on this market.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:03 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Yes probability

3.4%

No 96.6% · Trade →

24h move

+0.1

pts · 7d +0.7

Volume

$664K

24h $520 · liquidity $27K

Closes

January 1, 2027

56 days left

Sports peace Geopolitics putin Ukraine

All outcomes

Outcome	Probability	24h	7d	Volume	Spread
Yes	3.4%	+0.1	+0.7	$664K	1.2¢
No	96.6%	-0.1	-0.7	$664K	–

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:03 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

Price history

Yes

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Russia x Ukraine ceasefire - Ukraine agrees not to join NATO - Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Yes at 3% risks 3¢ to win 97¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds that Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo?: As of November 6, 2026, Polymarket prices Yes at 3.4% and No at 96.6%, on $664K of total volume.
When does this market resolve?: The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?: $664K in total and $520 in the last 24 hours, with about $27K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?: Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.