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Live market data

Ukraine election called by...?: live odds and probabilities

The market favorite is December 31, 2027 at 60.5%, ahead of June 30, 2027 at 29.5%. $1.9M traded across 3 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:18 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

60.5%
December 31, 2027 · Trade →

24h move

+1.0
pts · 7d +7.5

Volume

$1.9M
24h $2K · liquidity $16K

Closes

January 1, 2028
421 days left

UkraineGeopoliticsPoliticsForeign PolicyWorld

All outcomes

OutcomeProbability24h7dVolumeSpread
December 31, 202760.5% +1.0+7.5$049.0¢
June 30, 202729.5% -8.5-19.0$2525.0¢
December 31, 20267.0% +4.0+3.0$112K2.0¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 02:18 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Price history

0%25%50%75%100%05-1508-1011-06
December 31, 2027June 30, 2027December 31, 2026

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Ukrainian presidential election is scheduled in 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Ukrainian election is announced between February 14 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Whether the election is supposed to take place in 2025 or later will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Ukraine however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Ukrainian presidential election is scheduled by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Ukrainian election is announced between market creation and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Whether the election is supposed to take place during this timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying December 31, 2027 at 61% risks 61¢ to win 40¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "Ukraine election called by...?"?
As of November 6, 2026, December 31, 2027 is the favorite at 60.5%, followed by June 30, 2027 at 29.5%.
When does this market resolve?
The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2028. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?
$1.9M in total and $2K in the last 24 hours, with about $16K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?
Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.