Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is China at 87.0%, ahead of No meeting by December 31 at 11.0%. $2.3M traded across 15 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
PoliticsputinRussiaTrump PresidencyWorld
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| China | 87.0% | 0.0 |
| No meeting by December 31 | 11.0% | 0.0 |
| United States | 0.9% | +0.4 |
| Other | 0.4% | 0.0 |
| Russia | 0.3% | 0.0 |
| Turkey | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Switzerland | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Gulf country | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Belarus | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Finland | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| South Korea | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Japan | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Australia | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Other EU country | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Ukraine | 0.1% | 0.0 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:03 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe. A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates). The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?"?
- As of November 6, 2026, China is the favorite at 87.0%, followed by No meeting by December 31 at 11.0%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $2.3M in total and $18K in the last 24 hours, with about $910K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.