Who is favored in "Ukraine election held by...?"?

As of November 6, 2026, December 31, 2026 is the favorite at 2.5%.

When does this market resolve?

The market is scheduled to close on February 13, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.

How much has been traded?

$2.5M in total and $158 in the last 24 hours, with about $12K of resting liquidity.

Can I trade this market?

Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Home / Markets / Ukraine election held by...?

Live market data

Ukraine election held by...?: live odds and probabilities

Name: Ukraine election held by...? prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

The market favorite is December 31, 2026 at 2.5%. $2.5M traded across 1 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:18 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

2.5%

December 31, 2026 · Trade →

24h move

+0.1

pts · 7d -1.7

Volume

$2.5M

24h $158 · liquidity $12K

Closes

February 13, 2027

99 days left

Ukraine Politics Geopolitics Foreign Policy World

All outcomes

Outcome	Probability	24h	7d	Volume	Spread
December 31, 2026	2.5%	+0.1	-1.7	$243K	1.4¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 02:18 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

Price history

December 31, 2026

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve to "Yes" if national elections for the parliament and/or presidency of Ukraine are held between February 12 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is based on whether national elections are actually held in Ukraine within the specified dates. Merely scheduling an election will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". If elections are officially scheduled for a date outside of 2025, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if national elections for the parliament and/or presidency of Ukraine are held between February 12, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is based on whether national elections are actually held in Ukraine within the specified dates. Merely scheduling an election will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". If elections are officially scheduled for a date outside this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying December 31, 2026 at 3% risks 3¢ to win 98¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "Ukraine election held by...?"?: As of November 6, 2026, December 31, 2026 is the favorite at 2.5%.
When does this market resolve?: The market is scheduled to close on February 13, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?: $2.5M in total and $158 in the last 24 hours, with about $12K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?: Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.